Gyeongnam FC 3-3 Cheonan City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.51
6+ Goals
9%
13.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.51 — our 26% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-8.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 30%
-19% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.30/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.29
-8% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.3 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongnam FC
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Cheonan City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Cheonan City Cheonan City 2-2 HT 1-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
21.08.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
03.06.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 2-3 HT 2-3 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
29.04.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gyeongnam FC
3-3
AWAY Cheonan City
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gyeongnam FC vs Cheonan City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongnam FC and Cheonan City shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Gyeongnam FC had 52% of the ball to Cheonan City's 48%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gyeongnam FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gyeongnam FC and 1.50 for Cheonan City.

What was the final score of Gyeongnam FC vs Cheonan City?

Gyeongnam FC 3-3 Cheonan City in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongnam FC vs Cheonan City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongnam FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gyeongnam FC 38%, draw 28%, Cheonan City 33%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gyeongnam FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongnam FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
28 Jul 2024
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