Busan I Park 4-2 Bucheon 1995 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.87
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.74
6+ Goals
9%
16.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.11/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.10
-42% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
17.6 Crosses 14.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Bucheon 1995
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
374 Passes 346
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.03.2025 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 0-2 HT 0-2 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
09.11.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 3-1 HT 1-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
06.07.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-2 HT 1-1 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
20.04.2024 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 1-3 HT 1-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
29.10.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-1 HT 0-1 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
30.07.2023 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 0-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
4-2
AWAY Bucheon 1995
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
260 Passes 359
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Bucheon 1995
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park saw off Bucheon 1995 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Busan I Park made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Busan I Park had 43% of the ball to Bucheon 1995's 57%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Busan I Park and 0.83 for Bucheon 1995.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Bucheon 1995?

Busan I Park 4-2 Bucheon 1995 in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Bucheon 1995?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 37%, draw 28%, Bucheon 1995 35%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Busan I Park) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✗ Under 2.5
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