Busan I Park 3-1 Bucheon 1995 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.03
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.86
6+ Goals
9%
17.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 26%
-14% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.67/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.18
-27% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
22.9 Crosses 15.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Bucheon 1995
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.13 xG 0.62
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
351 Passes 270
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.07.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-2 HT 1-1 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
20.04.2024 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 1-3 HT 1-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
29.10.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-1 HT 0-1 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
30.07.2023 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 0-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
13.05.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-1 HT 0-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
22.08.2022 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 1-1 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
3-1
AWAY Bucheon 1995
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
495 Passes 341
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Bucheon 1995
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park saw off Bucheon 1995 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Busan I Park as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Busan I Park had 58% of the ball to Bucheon 1995's 42%, shots finished 15-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Busan I Park and 1.00 for Bucheon 1995.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Bucheon 1995?

Busan I Park 3-1 Bucheon 1995 in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Bucheon 1995?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 44%, draw 27%, Bucheon 1995 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Busan I Park) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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