Ansan Greeners 1-1 Seongnam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.21
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 30% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Seongnam EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.89/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.45
+41% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
240 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.2 Crosses 20.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ansan Greeners
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Seongnam
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.99 xG 1.40
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
162 Passes 314
64% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.06.2024 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-1 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
10.03.2024 Seongnam Seongnam 1-3 HT 1-1 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
26.11.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 0-2 HT 0-1 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
20.05.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-3 HT 0-1 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
01.03.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 2-1 HT 1-1 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
22.09.2018 Seongnam Seongnam 1-1 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ansan Greeners
1-1
AWAY Seongnam
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
532 Passes 292
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ansan Greeners vs Seongnam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ansan Greeners and Seongnam couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ansan Greeners had 62% of the ball to Seongnam's 38%, shots finished 18-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Seongnam led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ansan Greeners and 1.33 for Seongnam.

What was the final score of Ansan Greeners vs Seongnam?

Ansan Greeners 1-1 Seongnam in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ansan Greeners vs Seongnam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ansan Greeners win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ansan Greeners 38%, draw 27%, Seongnam 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ansan Greeners) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ansan Greeners) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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