Gimpo Citizen 1-0 Cheonan City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 27% vs market 25.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-8.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 28%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
0.70/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.57
-54% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 70%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.2 Crosses 14.9
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimpo Citizen
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Cheonan City
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2024 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-1 HT 1-1 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
27.04.2024 Cheonan City Cheonan City 1-2 HT 0-1 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
12.11.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
14.08.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 0-2 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
05.03.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 4-0 HT 1-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimpo Citizen
1-0
AWAY Cheonan City
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
255 Passes 343
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gimpo Citizen vs Cheonan City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimpo Citizen edged past Cheonan City 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gimpo Citizen as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gimpo Citizen had 44% of the ball to Cheonan City's 56%, shots finished 14-15.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gimpo Citizen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Gimpo Citizen and 0.40 for Cheonan City.

What was the final score of Gimpo Citizen vs Cheonan City?

Gimpo Citizen 1-0 Cheonan City in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimpo Citizen vs Cheonan City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimpo Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gimpo Citizen 41%, draw 29%, Cheonan City 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimpo Citizen), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5
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