Cheonan City 1-2 Gimpo Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.53
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.68
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 38%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.45/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.92
+13% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +37%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
Crosses 18.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheonan City
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
14.08.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 0-2 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
05.03.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 4-0 HT 1-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheonan City
1-2
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cheonan City vs Gimpo Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimpo Citizen squeezed past Cheonan City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Gimpo Citizen found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cheonan City had 58% of the ball to Gimpo Citizen's 42%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gimpo Citizen led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Cheonan City and 2.00 for Gimpo Citizen.

What was the final score of Cheonan City vs Gimpo Citizen?

Cheonan City 1-2 Gimpo Citizen in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheonan City vs Gimpo Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cheonan City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cheonan City 39%, draw 28%, Gimpo Citizen 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cheonan City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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