Busan I Park 2-1 Ansan Greeners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.34
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.54
6+ Goals
10%
14.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+9.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 21%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.77/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.75
-34% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
396 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 70%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
14.0 Crosses 11.5
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ansan Greeners
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.93 xG 1.16
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 Passes 273
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-0 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
01.07.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-2 HT 0-2 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
29.04.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
04.09.2022 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 3-1 HT 1-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
18.07.2022 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-1 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
05.06.2022 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-0 HT 1-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
2-1
AWAY Ansan Greeners
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
359 Passes 460
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Ansan Greeners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park edged past Ansan Greeners 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Busan I Park as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Busan I Park had 45% of the ball to Ansan Greeners's 55%, shots finished 8-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Busan I Park and 0.83 for Ansan Greeners.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Ansan Greeners?

Busan I Park 2-1 Ansan Greeners in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Ansan Greeners?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 50%, draw 23%, Ansan Greeners 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Busan I Park) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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