Gimpo Citizen 1-1 Cheonan City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 29 Jun 2024

Gimpo Citizen
1-1 HT 1-1
Cheonan City
📅29/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Challenge – 2024

Gimpo Citizen vs Cheonan City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.59
Over 2.5
34%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.45
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
13%
4.87
6+ Goals
9%
28.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.45 — our 41% vs market 34.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.4pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.0pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.5pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.6pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gimpo Citizen v Cheonan City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.08/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.33
-23% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.6 Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3

Gimpo Citizen vs Cheonan City Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimpo Citizen
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Cheonan City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.04.2024 Cheonan City Cheonan City 1-2 HT 0-1 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
12.11.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
14.08.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 0-2 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
05.03.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 4-0 HT 1-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2

Gimpo Citizen 1-1 Cheonan City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimpo Citizen
1-1
AWAY Cheonan City
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gimpo Citizen vs Cheonan City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimpo Citizen and Cheonan City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Gimpo Citizen had 51% of the ball to Cheonan City's 49%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gimpo Citizen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gimpo Citizen and 0.25 for Cheonan City.

What was the final score of Gimpo Citizen vs Cheonan City?

Gimpo Citizen 1-1 Cheonan City in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimpo Citizen vs Cheonan City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimpo Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gimpo Citizen 38%, draw 32%, Cheonan City 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gimpo Citizen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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