Busan I Park 2-2 Seongnam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.98
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.92
6+ Goals
10%
17.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
49%
-12.1pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.8pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Seongnam EU Bookmakers 29%
-17% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
0.91/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.21
-41% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 70%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.6 Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Seongnam
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
162 Passes 240
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.05.2024 Seongnam Seongnam 0-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
16.09.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 3-0 HT 2-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
16.07.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-3 HT 0-2 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
22.04.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 1-3 HT 1-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
14.04.2021 Seongnam Seongnam 1-0 HT 1-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOK
31.10.2020 Seongnam Seongnam 2-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
2-2
AWAY Seongnam
70% Ball Possession 30%
19 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Seongnam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park and Seongnam couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Busan I Park had 70% of the ball to Seongnam's 30%, shots finished 19-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Busan I Park and 1.17 for Seongnam.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Seongnam?

Busan I Park 2-2 Seongnam in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Seongnam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 37%, draw 31%, Seongnam 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Busan I Park), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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