Seongnam 0-1 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.46
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
3.45
6+ Goals
11%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 27% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seongnam EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 45%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.23/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.34
+4% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
Crosses 19.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seongnam
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Busan I Park
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.02 xG 0.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
291 Passes 206
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 3-0 HT 2-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
16.07.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-3 HT 0-2 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
22.04.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 1-3 HT 1-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
14.04.2021 Seongnam Seongnam 1-0 HT 1-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOK
31.10.2020 Seongnam Seongnam 2-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOK
14.08.2020 Seongnam Seongnam 1-1 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seongnam
0-1
AWAY Busan I Park
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Seongnam vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park edged past Seongnam 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Busan I Park made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Seongnam had 57% of the ball to Busan I Park's 43%, shots finished 8-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Seongnam had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Seongnam and 1.67 for Busan I Park.

What was the final score of Seongnam vs Busan I Park?

Seongnam 0-1 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seongnam vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated an Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Seongnam 34%, draw 26%, Busan I Park 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Busan I Park) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
19 May 2024
10:30 Cheonan City vs Anyang Analysis →
13:00 Gyeongnam FC vs Gimpo Citizen Analysis →