Gyeongnam FC 1-3 Gimpo Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.79
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.18
6+ Goals
6%
20.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 32% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 26%
-10% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +14%
2.00/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.83
-9% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
22.0 Crosses 18.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongnam FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.80 xG 0.91
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
311 Passes 234
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 2-1 HT 2-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
26.11.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
29.07.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
11.03.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
13.09.2022 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
14.08.2022 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-3 HT 1-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gyeongnam FC
1-3
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gyeongnam FC vs Gimpo Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimpo Citizen saw off Gyeongnam FC 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gyeongnam FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gyeongnam FC had 63% of the ball to Gimpo Citizen's 37%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gyeongnam FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gyeongnam FC and 0.50 for Gimpo Citizen.

What was the final score of Gyeongnam FC vs Gimpo Citizen?

Gyeongnam FC 1-3 Gimpo Citizen in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongnam FC vs Gimpo Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongnam FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Gyeongnam FC 48%, draw 28%, Gimpo Citizen 25%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongnam FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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