Tromsdalen 5-1 Hönefoss BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
2.61
Over 2.5
70%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.43
No
34%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
5.66
2-3 Goals
38%
2.0
4-5 Goals
31%
2.43
6+ Goals
17%
5.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.2pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
30%
Under 2.5
35%
-4.8pp
70%
Over 2.5
65%
+4.8pp
66%
BTTS Yes
66%
+0.6pp
34%
BTTS No
34%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsdalen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hönefoss BK EU Bookmakers 28%
+15% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.67/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/3.05
+26% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -40%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
397 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsdalen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Hönefoss BK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
27.04.2025 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 2-3 HT 0-2 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen NOR3
05.10.2014 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen 2-3 HT 1-2 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK NOR1
09.06.2014 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 4-0 HT 2-0 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen NOR1
06.10.2009 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 2-0 HT 1-0 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen NOR1
07.06.2009 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen 0-1 HT 0-0 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK NOR1
05.08.2007 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 2-2 HT 2-2 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen NOR1
POST-MATCH Tromsdalen vs Hönefoss BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsdalen ran out comfortable winners over Hönefoss BK 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tromsdalen as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hönefoss BK led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tromsdalen and 2.33 for Hönefoss BK.

What was the final score of Tromsdalen vs Hönefoss BK?

Tromsdalen 5-1 Hönefoss BK in the Norway - 2nd Division on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsdalen vs Hönefoss BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tromsdalen win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tromsdalen 50%, draw 22%, Hönefoss BK 28%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tromsdalen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tromsdalen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR3 More Norway - 2nd Division
7 Sep 2025
13:30 Rana vs Kjelsas Analysis →
14:00 Jerv vs Brattvag IL Analysis →
14:00 SK Traeff vs Sandnes Ulf Analysis →
18:30 Sotra SK vs Arendal Analysis →