Hönefoss BK 2-3 Tromsdalen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.58
2-3 Goals
43%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
2.72
6+ Goals
12%
7.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.8pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hönefoss BK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Tromsdalen EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
331 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hönefoss BK
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Tromsdalen
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
05.10.2014 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen 2-3 HT 1-2 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK NOR1
09.06.2014 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 4-0 HT 2-0 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen NOR1
06.10.2009 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 2-0 HT 1-0 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen NOR1
07.06.2009 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen 0-1 HT 0-0 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK NOR1
05.08.2007 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 2-2 HT 2-2 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen NOR1
22.08.2004 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen 0-2 HT 0-2 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK NOR1
POST-MATCH Hönefoss BK vs Tromsdalen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsdalen nicked a narrow win over Hönefoss BK 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Tromsdalen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hönefoss BK had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Hönefoss BK and 0.67 for Tromsdalen.

What was the final score of Hönefoss BK vs Tromsdalen?

Hönefoss BK 2-3 Tromsdalen in the Norway - 2nd Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hönefoss BK vs Tromsdalen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tromsdalen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hönefoss BK 36%, draw 26%, Tromsdalen 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tromsdalen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tromsdalen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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