Sotra SK 1-3 Notodden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.41
6+ Goals
11%
13.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.41 — our 26% vs market 23.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sotra SK EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Notodden EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
2.09/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/2.10
-3% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sotra SK
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Notodden
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Notodden Notodden 0-0 HT 0-0 Sotra SK Sotra SK NOR3
06.04.2024 Sotra SK Sotra SK 2-1 HT 1-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
08.10.2022 Sotra SK Sotra SK 2-2 HT 2-1 Notodden Notodden NOR3
11.09.2021 Notodden Notodden 3-0 HT 2-0 Sotra SK Sotra SK NOR3
18.08.2021 Sotra SK Sotra SK 0-0 HT 0-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
01.08.2020 Sotra SK Sotra SK 3-0 HT 1-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sotra SK
1-3
AWAY Notodden
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sotra SK vs Notodden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notodden beat Sotra SK 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sotra SK at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sotra SK had 53% of the ball to Notodden's 47%, shots finished 17-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sotra SK had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sotra SK and 1.00 for Notodden.

What was the final score of Sotra SK vs Notodden?

Sotra SK 1-3 Notodden in the Norway - 2nd Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sotra SK vs Notodden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sotra SK win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sotra SK 50%, draw 26%, Notodden 24%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sotra SK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sotra SK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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