Sotra SK 2-1 Notodden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.43
Over 2.5
63%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.15
2-3 Goals
45%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.73
6+ Goals
11%
6.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.7pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.1pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
38%
-0.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
62%
+0.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sotra SK EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Notodden EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.88/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.31
-14% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
463 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sotra SK
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Notodden
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2022 Sotra SK Sotra SK 2-2 HT 2-1 Notodden Notodden NOR3
11.09.2021 Notodden Notodden 3-0 HT 2-0 Sotra SK Sotra SK NOR3
18.08.2021 Sotra SK Sotra SK 0-0 HT 0-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
01.08.2020 Sotra SK Sotra SK 3-0 HT 1-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sotra SK
2-1
AWAY Notodden
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sotra SK vs Notodden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sotra SK squeezed past Notodden 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sotra SK as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sotra SK had 47% of the ball to Notodden's 53%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Sotra SK and 1.25 for Notodden.

What was the final score of Sotra SK vs Notodden?

Sotra SK 2-1 Notodden in the Norway - 2nd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sotra SK vs Notodden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sotra SK win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sotra SK 56%, draw 20%, Notodden 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sotra SK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sotra SK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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