Jerv 1-0 Orn Horten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.17
2-3 Goals
42%
1.97
4-5 Goals
25%
2.72
6+ Goals
12%
6.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.6pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.4pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jerv EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Orn Horten EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
475 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.9
POST-MATCH Jerv vs Orn Horten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jerv edged past Orn Horten 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jerv as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Jerv vs Orn Horten?

Jerv 1-0 Orn Horten in the Norway - 2nd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jerv vs Orn Horten?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jerv win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Jerv 54%, draw 23%, Orn Horten 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jerv) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jerv) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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