Vard Haugesund 0-1 Arendal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.38
Over 2.5
61%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.0
2-3 Goals
34%
1.95
4-5 Goals
30%
2.76
6+ Goals
12%
7.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-5.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+0.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-0.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.4pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vard Haugesund EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Arendal EU Bookmakers 49%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -10%
0.79/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.68
-48% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vard Haugesund
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Arendal
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
07.10.2023 Arendal Arendal 2-0 HT 0-0 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
20.05.2023 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 3-0 HT 1-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
08.10.2022 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 0-2 HT 0-2 Arendal Arendal NOR3
04.06.2022 Arendal Arendal 3-1 HT 1-0 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
30.10.2021 Arendal Arendal 1-0 HT 0-0 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
30.06.2021 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 0-1 HT 0-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
POST-MATCH Vard Haugesund vs Arendal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arendal squeezed past Vard Haugesund 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Arendal made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arendal led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vard Haugesund and 1.50 for Arendal.

What was the final score of Vard Haugesund vs Arendal?

Vard Haugesund 0-1 Arendal in the Norway - 2nd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vard Haugesund vs Arendal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arendal win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vard Haugesund 37%, draw 24%, Arendal 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arendal) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arendal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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