Chernomorets 3-2 FK Ufa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 32%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.89/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.05
-23% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chernomorets
2W-0D-0L
AWAY FK Ufa
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 2-1 HT 0-1 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
12.10.2024 FK Ufa FK Ufa 0-3 HT 0-2 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chernomorets
3-2
AWAY FK Ufa
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Chernomorets vs FK Ufa
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Chernomorets edged past FK Ufa 3-2 in the Russia - FNL on 7 Sep 2025. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Chernomorets had 61% of the ball to FK Ufa's 39%, shots finished 15-10.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chernomorets have the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Chernomorets and 0.50 for FK Ufa.

What was the final score of Chernomorets vs FK Ufa?

Chernomorets 3-2 FK Ufa in the Russia - FNL on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chernomorets vs FK Ufa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chernomorets 40%, draw 30%, FK Ufa 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chernomorets) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chernomorets) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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