Chernomorets 2-1 FK Ufa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.66/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.34
+16% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chernomorets
1W-0D-0L
AWAY FK Ufa
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2024 FK Ufa FK Ufa 0-3 HT 0-2 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chernomorets
2-1
AWAY FK Ufa
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
FAQ Chernomorets vs FK Ufa
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Chernomorets edged past FK Ufa 2-1 in the Russia - FNL on 30 Nov 2024. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

On the day, Chernomorets had 51% of the ball to FK Ufa's 49%, shots finished 19-8.

What was the final score of Chernomorets vs FK Ufa?

Chernomorets 2-1 FK Ufa in the Russia - FNL on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chernomorets vs FK Ufa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Chernomorets 48%, draw 25%, FK Ufa 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chernomorets) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chernomorets) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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