Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-0 Arsenal Tula — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 30 Nov 2024

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
2-0 HT 1-0
Arsenal Tula
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2024/2025

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Arsenal Tula Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.6pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk v Arsenal Tula — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.48/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.76
+41% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +53%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Arsenal Tula Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Arsenal Tula
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.49 xG 0.65
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
224 Passes 281
67% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.08.2024 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 2-1 HT 1-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
19.11.2023 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 0-2 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
07.08.2023 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 2-0 HT 2-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
17.03.2023 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
29.08.2022 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 2-2 HT 1-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
16.03.2019 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 2-0 HT 1-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-0 Arsenal Tula — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
2-0
AWAY Arsenal Tula
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Arsenal Tula
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk beat Arsenal Tula 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Yenisey Krasnoyarsk found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk had 53% of the ball to Arsenal Tula's 47%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal Tula led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk and 1.67 for Arsenal Tula.

What was the final score of Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Arsenal Tula?

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-0 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - FNL on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Arsenal Tula?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yenisey Krasnoyarsk win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 35%, draw 30%, Arsenal Tula 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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