Portland Timbers 0-0 FC Dallas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 7 Oct 2024

📅07/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.96
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.49
No
38%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.95
2-3 Goals
35%
2.19
4-5 Goals
30%
2.47
6+ Goals
17%
4.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.78
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.95
X/1
21%
4.09
X/2
6%
12.5
X/X
13%
7.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
18.35
2/2
11%
7.97
2/X
7%
16.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.35 — our 7% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-10.1pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.1pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.9pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
-1.3pp
38%
BTTS No
37%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
2.18/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.75
+8% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
433 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
22.3 Crosses 12.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portland Timbers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Dallas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.07 xG 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
312 Passes 410
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.07.2024 FC Dallas FC Dallas 3-2 HT 0-1 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
12.06.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
02.04.2023 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-1 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
07.08.2022 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
20.03.2022 FC Dallas FC Dallas 4-1 HT 3-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
18.07.2021 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portland Timbers
0-0
AWAY FC Dallas
1.78 xG 1.64
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
396 Passes 440
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
40 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portland Timbers and FC Dallas fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Portland Timbers at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portland Timbers had 47% of the ball to FC Dallas's 53%, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 1.78 to 1.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Portland Timbers and 1.50 for FC Dallas.

What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas?

Portland Timbers 0-0 FC Dallas in the USA - Major League on 07/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Timbers win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 53%, draw 25%, FC Dallas 22%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Portland Timbers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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