Atletico Rafaela 2-0 Atletico Atlanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 7 Oct 2024

📅07/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
37%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.41
Over
35%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2-3
39%
4-5
15%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
37%
Away Win
27%
+9.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
67%
-1.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
33%
+1.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.7pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Rafaela EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Atlanta EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -15%
1.16/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.22
+1% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
247 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Rafaela
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Atletico Atlanta
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
19.05.2024 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
26.06.2023 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
21.02.2023 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
23.08.2022 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Atletico Rafaela vs Atletico Atlanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Rafaela saw off Atletico Atlanta 2-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Atletico Rafaela found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Atletico Rafaela and 0.50 for Atletico Atlanta.

What was the final score of Atletico Rafaela vs Atletico Atlanta?

Atletico Rafaela 2-0 Atletico Atlanta in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 07/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Rafaela vs Atletico Atlanta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Atlanta win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atletico Rafaela 35%, draw 28%, Atletico Atlanta 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Atlanta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Atlanta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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