Platense 0-0 River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 7 Oct 2024

📅07/10/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.38
Over 2.5
43%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.51
No
50%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
1.93
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
19%
7.05
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.36
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.6
X/1
12%
7.78
X/2
14%
3.83
X/X
12%
3.34
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.79
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
16.7
Value flag · 2/X at 16.7 — our 10% vs market 3.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.0pp
30%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-4.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
69%
-11.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
31%
+11.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
36%
+14.5pp
50%
BTTS No
64%
-14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Platense EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY River Plate EU Bookmakers 51%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -28%
1.01/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.12
-4% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
237 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
20.9 Crosses 19.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Platense
0W-0D-6L
AWAY River Plate
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.71 xG 2.33
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
195 Passes 438
62% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.05.2023 River Plate River Plate 2-1 HT 1-1 Platense Platense ARJ
13.10.2022 River Plate River Plate 2-1 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ARJ
09.05.2022 River Plate River Plate 2-1 HT 1-1 Platense Platense ARJ
22.11.2021 Platense Platense 0-1 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
28.02.2021 Platense Platense 0-1 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
13.09.2018 River Plate River Plate 2-0 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ARJK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Platense
0-0
AWAY River Plate
0.18 xG 0.54
23% Ball Possession 77%
7 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
96 Passes 558
50% Pass Accuracy 85%
5 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Platense vs River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Platense and River Plate played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was River Plate at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Platense had 23% of the ball to River Plate's 77%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.18 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Platense and 1.67 for River Plate.

What was the final score of Platense vs River Plate?

Platense 0-0 River Plate in the Argentina - Premier League on 07/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Platense vs River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated an River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Platense 27%, draw 30%, River Plate 43%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (River Plate) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5
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