Barracas Central 1-1 Independiente Rivadavia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 7 Oct 2024

Barracas Central
1-1 HT 1-1
Independiente Rivadavia
📅07/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Barracas Central vs Independiente Rivadavia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.41
Over 2.5
40%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
6.65
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
4.3
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.25
X/1
13%
5.18
X/2
13%
5.09
X/X
13%
3.31
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
17%
4.19
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.2pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
67%
-6.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
33%
+6.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.4pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barracas Central v Independiente Rivadavia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 37%
+22% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+40% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
269 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 71%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.6 Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards –

Barracas Central vs Independiente Rivadavia Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barracas Central
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.56 xG 1.74
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
119 Passes 284
63% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.03.2024 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 1-3 HT 0-1 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
09.10.2021 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-3 HT 0-1 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJPBN
17.06.2021 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 0-0 HT 0-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJPBN
03.11.2019 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJPBN

Barracas Central 1-1 Independiente Rivadavia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barracas Central
1-1
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
1.05 xG 0.36
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
167 Passes 300
67% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barracas Central vs Independiente Rivadavia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barracas Central and Independiente Rivadavia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 28% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Barracas Central had 40% of the ball to Independiente Rivadavia's 60%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.05 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Barracas Central had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Barracas Central and 1.00 for Independiente Rivadavia.

What was the final score of Barracas Central vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Barracas Central 1-1 Independiente Rivadavia in the Argentina - Premier League on 07/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barracas Central vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Rivadavia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Barracas Central 31%, draw 28%, Independiente Rivadavia 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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