Enyimba 3-0 Katsina United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 7 Oct 2024

📅07/10/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.6
Over
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.6
No
60%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
49%
4-5
14%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.2pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.6pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+4.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
34%
+6.0pp
60%
BTTS No
66%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Enyimba EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Katsina United EU Bookmakers 15%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
1.95/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.30/1.55
+22% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
312 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Enyimba
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Katsina United
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
06.10.2024 Enyimba Enyimba 3-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
28.04.2024 Enyimba Enyimba 1-0 HT 0-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
29.01.2022 Enyimba Enyimba 2-1 HT 1-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
13.06.2021 Katsina United Katsina United 3-1 HT 3-0 Enyimba Enyimba NIJ
31.01.2021 Enyimba Enyimba 1-0 HT 1-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
POST-MATCH Enyimba vs Katsina United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Enyimba swept aside Katsina United 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Enyimba as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Enyimba had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Enyimba and 0.80 for Katsina United.

What was the final score of Enyimba vs Katsina United?

Enyimba 3-0 Katsina United in the Nigeria NPFL on 07/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Enyimba vs Katsina United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Enyimba win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Enyimba 55%, draw 28%, Katsina United 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Enyimba), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Enyimba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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