Enyimba 1-0 Katsina United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
18%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.81
No
70%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
72%
-9.6pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.3pp
18%
Away Win
9%
+9.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.6pp
30%
BTTS Yes
32%
-1.2pp
70%
BTTS No
68%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Enyimba EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Katsina United EU Bookmakers 11%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.72/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.54
-3% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
408 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Enyimba
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Katsina United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
29.01.2022 Enyimba Enyimba 2-1 HT 1-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
13.06.2021 Katsina United Katsina United 3-1 HT 3-0 Enyimba Enyimba NIJ
31.01.2021 Enyimba Enyimba 1-0 HT 1-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Enyimba
1-0
AWAY Katsina United
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Enyimba vs Katsina United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Enyimba nicked a narrow win over Katsina United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Enyimba as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (70%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Enyimba had 59% of the ball to Katsina United's 41%, shots finished 12-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Enyimba had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Enyimba and 1.33 for Katsina United.

What was the final score of Enyimba vs Katsina United?

Enyimba 1-0 Katsina United in the Nigeria NPFL on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Enyimba vs Katsina United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Enyimba win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Enyimba 62%, draw 20%, Katsina United 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Enyimba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Enyimba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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