Shooting Stars 2-0 Sunshine Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
3.23
No
67%
1.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.8pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.7pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+5.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.1pp
33%
BTTS Yes
27%
+6.6pp
67%
BTTS No
73%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shooting Stars EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunshine Stars EU Bookmakers 12%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.62/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.45
-9% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shooting Stars
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sunshine Stars
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
06.12.2023 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars 1-0 HT 0-0 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
16.01.2022 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 2-2 HT 1-1 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shooting Stars
2-0
AWAY Sunshine Stars
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Shooting Stars vs Sunshine Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shooting Stars beat Sunshine Stars 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shooting Stars as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (67%) came in.

On the day, Shooting Stars had 53% of the ball to Sunshine Stars's 47%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sunshine Stars led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shooting Stars and 1.50 for Sunshine Stars.

What was the final score of Shooting Stars vs Sunshine Stars?

Shooting Stars 2-0 Sunshine Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shooting Stars vs Sunshine Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shooting Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Shooting Stars 57%, draw 29%, Sunshine Stars 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shooting Stars), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shooting Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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