Valerenga II 0-4 Gjovik-Lyn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 7 Oct 2024

📅07/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under
28%
2.98
Over Pick
72%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.33
No
37%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1
16%
7.65
2-3
40%
2.26
4-5
29%
2.41
6+
15%
4.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
17%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 72%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-4.3pp
28%
Under 2.5
30%
-1.8pp
72%
Over 2.5
70%
+1.8pp
63%
BTTS Yes
71%
-8.7pp
37%
BTTS No
29%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga II EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Gjovik-Lyn EU Bookmakers 51%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -57% / -57%
2.12/2.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/5.00
+36% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -73%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
250 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga II
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Gjovik-Lyn
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Gjovik-Lyn Gjovik-Lyn 3-1 HT 0-0 Valerenga II Valerenga II NOR3
05.09.2022 Gjovik-Lyn Gjovik-Lyn 3-0 HT 1-0 Valerenga II Valerenga II NOR3
18.07.2022 Valerenga II Valerenga II 5-1 HT 2-0 Gjovik-Lyn Gjovik-Lyn NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga II
0-4
AWAY Gjovik-Lyn
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Valerenga II vs Gjovik-Lyn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gjovik-Lyn ran out comfortable winners over Valerenga II 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gjovik-Lyn as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (72%) landed while both teams to score (63%) missed.

On the day, Valerenga II had 48% of the ball to Gjovik-Lyn's 52%, shots finished 5-17.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gjovik-Lyn led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Valerenga II and 2.33 for Gjovik-Lyn.

What was the final score of Valerenga II vs Gjovik-Lyn?

Valerenga II 0-4 Gjovik-Lyn in the Norway - 2nd Division on 07/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga II vs Gjovik-Lyn?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gjovik-Lyn win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Valerenga II 32%, draw 26%, Gjovik-Lyn 43%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gjovik-Lyn), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gjovik-Lyn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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