Gjovik-Lyn 3-1 Valerenga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.61
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
5.77
2-3 Goals
45%
2.04
4-5 Goals
28%
2.61
6+ Goals
11%
6.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-3.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.4pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.0pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gjovik-Lyn EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga II EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +15%
2.19/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.83
+0% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gjovik-Lyn
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Valerenga II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
05.09.2022 Gjovik-Lyn Gjovik-Lyn 3-0 HT 1-0 Valerenga II Valerenga II NOR3
18.07.2022 Valerenga II Valerenga II 5-1 HT 2-0 Gjovik-Lyn Gjovik-Lyn NOR3
POST-MATCH Gjovik-Lyn vs Valerenga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gjovik-Lyn got the better of Valerenga II 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gjovik-Lyn as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gjovik-Lyn and 2.50 for Valerenga II.

What was the final score of Gjovik-Lyn vs Valerenga II?

Gjovik-Lyn 3-1 Valerenga II in the Norway - 2nd Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gjovik-Lyn vs Valerenga II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gjovik-Lyn win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Gjovik-Lyn 55%, draw 25%, Valerenga II 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gjovik-Lyn), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gjovik-Lyn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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