Alta 2-2 Strommen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
20%
2.81
6+ Goals
14%
7.68
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.8 — our 28% vs market 16.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.1pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alta EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Strommen EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.60/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.60
-11% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alta
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Strommen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.09.2023 Strommen Strommen 1-0 HT 0-0 Alta Alta NOR3
16.04.2023 Alta Alta 1-0 HT 0-0 Strommen Strommen NOR3
23.07.2014 Strommen Strommen 3-1 HT 1-0 Alta Alta NOR1
16.05.2014 Alta Alta 0-2 HT 0-1 Strommen Strommen NOR1
04.11.2012 Strommen Strommen 1-0 HT 0-0 Alta Alta NOR1
11.07.2012 Alta Alta 2-3 HT 1-1 Strommen Strommen NOR1
POST-MATCH Alta vs Strommen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alta and Strommen shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Strommen led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Alta and 1.67 for Strommen.

What was the final score of Alta vs Strommen?

Alta 2-2 Strommen in the Norway - 2nd Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alta vs Strommen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alta win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Alta 39%, draw 29%, Strommen 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alta) ✓ BTTS Yes
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