Eik Toensberg 1-0 Sotra SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.89
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
2.94
6+ Goals
10%
8.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.94 — our 30% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
49%
-12.6pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.1pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.0pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eik Toensberg EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sotra SK EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
364 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eik Toensberg
1-0
AWAY Sotra SK
38% Ball Possession 62%
24 Total Shots 16
13 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eik Toensberg vs Sotra SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eik Toensberg squeezed past Sotra SK 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Eik Toensberg found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eik Toensberg had 38% of the ball to Sotra SK's 62%, shots finished 24-16.

What was the final score of Eik Toensberg vs Sotra SK?

Eik Toensberg 1-0 Sotra SK in the Norway - 2nd Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eik Toensberg vs Sotra SK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sotra SK win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Eik Toensberg 36%, draw 26%, Sotra SK 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sotra SK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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