Instituto Cordoba 2-3 River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 7 Nov 2024

Instituto Cordoba
2-3 HT 1-0
River Plate
📅07/11/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Instituto Cordoba vs River Plate Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
39%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.08
6+ Goals
9%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.63
1/2
11%
30.5
1/X
6%
15.5
X/1
14%
7.73
X/2
10%
4.06
X/X
12%
3.84
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.7
2/X
9%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
24%
+10.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
39%
Away Win
48%
-9.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Instituto Cordoba v River Plate — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY River Plate EU Bookmakers 52%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -24%
1.05/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.09
-11% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +14%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
243 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
19.2 Crosses 19.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7

Instituto Cordoba vs River Plate Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Instituto Cordoba
0W-1D-5L
AWAY River Plate
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.03 xG 2.38
29% Ball Possession 71%
8 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
142 Passes 499
60% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 33
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.04.2024 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-3 HT 1-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
27.11.2023 River Plate River Plate 0-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
23.06.2023 River Plate River Plate 3-1 HT 1-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
09.04.2006 River Plate River Plate 3-1 HT 1-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
14.11.2005 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-4 HT 1-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
07.03.2005 River Plate River Plate 3-1 HT 2-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ

Instituto Cordoba 2-3 River Plate — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Instituto Cordoba
2-3
AWAY River Plate
0.43 xG 2.62
30% Ball Possession 70%
6 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
124 Passes 420
57% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Instituto Cordoba vs River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate nicked a narrow win over Instituto Cordoba 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day River Plate made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Instituto Cordoba had 30% of the ball to River Plate's 70%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 0.43 to 2.62 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold River Plate's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Instituto Cordoba and 2.67 for River Plate.

What was the final score of Instituto Cordoba vs River Plate?

Instituto Cordoba 2-3 River Plate in the Argentina - Premier League on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Instituto Cordoba vs River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated an River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Instituto Cordoba 34%, draw 27%, River Plate 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Plate) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (River Plate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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