Instituto Cordoba 1-3 River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.08
6+ Goals
7%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
5.25
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
9%
14.6
X/1
8%
6.42
X/2
15%
4.48
X/X
16%
3.8
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.17
2/X
6%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-7.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.0pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY River Plate EU Bookmakers 49%
+13% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -20%
1.02/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.05
-12% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
255 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
20.8 Crosses 18.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Instituto Cordoba
0W-1D-5L
AWAY River Plate
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.94 xG 2.06
26% Ball Possession 74%
7 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
124 Passes 560
54% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 37
4 Yellow Cards 1
27.11.2023 River Plate River Plate 0-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
23.06.2023 River Plate River Plate 3-1 HT 1-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
09.04.2006 River Plate River Plate 3-1 HT 1-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
14.11.2005 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-4 HT 1-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
07.03.2005 River Plate River Plate 3-1 HT 2-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
30.08.2004 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-2 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Instituto Cordoba
1-3
AWAY River Plate
1.20 xG 3.02
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
179 Passes 375
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Instituto Cordoba vs River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate got the better of Instituto Cordoba 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 38% — and on the day River Plate made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Instituto Cordoba had 36% of the ball to River Plate's 64%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 1.20 to 3.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Instituto Cordoba and 2.50 for River Plate.

What was the final score of Instituto Cordoba vs River Plate?

Instituto Cordoba 1-3 River Plate in the Argentina - Premier League on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Instituto Cordoba vs River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated an River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Instituto Cordoba 31%, draw 31%, River Plate 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Plate) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (River Plate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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