Independiente 2-2 Talleres Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.54
Over 2.5
34%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
5.15
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.35 — our 40% vs market 36.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.34
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
14%
4.66
X/2
16%
6.23
X/X
13%
3.67
2/1
11%
33.0
2/2
8%
5.04
2/X
11%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.8pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
61%
+5.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
39%
-5.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.5pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Talleres Cordoba EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.28/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.35
-8% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
20.2 Crosses 15.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Talleres Cordoba
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.93 xG 1.10
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
232 Passes 342
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.11.2023 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 3-2 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
29.01.2023 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
28.09.2022 Independiente Independiente 0-0 HT 0-0 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba ARJK
11.06.2022 Independiente Independiente 1-0 HT 1-0 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba ARJ
13.12.2021 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 1-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
03.04.2021 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 3-1 HT 2-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente
2-2
AWAY Talleres Cordoba
2.34 xG 1.10
71% Ball Possession 29%
23 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
336 Passes 100
80% Pass Accuracy 57%
27 Box Touches 7
27 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Independiente vs Talleres Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente and Talleres Cordoba couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Independiente had 71% of the ball to Talleres Cordoba's 29%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 2.34 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Independiente and 1.17 for Talleres Cordoba.

What was the final score of Independiente vs Talleres Cordoba?

Independiente 2-2 Talleres Cordoba in the Argentina - Premier League on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente vs Talleres Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Independiente 39%, draw 31%, Talleres Cordoba 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Independiente) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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