CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-3 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 7 Nov 2024

📅07/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+6.3pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.1pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 54%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.46/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.08
+64% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
1W-1D-2L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 2
31.05.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-2 HT 0-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
09.03.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-2 HT 1-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
17.09.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
03.06.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-1 HT 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
1-3
AWAY CSKA Sofia
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CSKA 1948 Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia beat CSKA 1948 Sofia 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CSKA 1948 Sofia had 54% of the ball to CSKA Sofia's 46%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 1.25 for CSKA Sofia.

What was the final score of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?

CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-3 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split CSKA 1948 Sofia 30%, draw 22%, CSKA Sofia 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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