CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-2 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
42%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
24%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+8.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
42%
Away Win
53%
-10.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 57%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.46/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+66% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% /
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
171 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 573 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
0W-1D-1L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
6 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
03.06.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-1 HT 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
1-2
AWAY CSKA Sofia
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 17
5 Corners 14
POST-MATCH CSKA 1948 Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia edged past CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CSKA 1948 Sofia had 45% of the ball to CSKA Sofia's 55%, shots finished 4-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 1.50 for CSKA Sofia.

What was the final score of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?

CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-2 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CSKA 1948 Sofia 29%, draw 29%, CSKA Sofia 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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