Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-2 Slavia Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.51
Over 2.5
47%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+2.5pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.2pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 43%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.98/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.16
-15% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Slavia Sofia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
06.06.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 2-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
23.05.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 HT 1-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
17.03.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Slavia Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Sofia squeezed past Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Slavia Sofia found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 1.00 for Slavia Sofia.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Slavia Sofia?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-2 Slavia Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Slavia Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 34%, draw 29%, Slavia Sofia 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Sofia), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
9 Mar 2024
16:00 CSKA 1948 Sofia vs CSKA Sofia Analysis →
18:30 PFC Beroe vs Cherno More Varna Analysis →