Ghazl El Mehalla 2-3 El Geish — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 7 Nov 2024

📅07/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.16
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.81
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
24%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.5pp
35%
Draw
31%
+3.4pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.7pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.6pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY El Geish EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.22/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.04
-5% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
238 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
24.9 Crosses 16.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
2W-1D-3L
AWAY El Geish
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.73 xG 1.13
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
254 Passes 247
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2023 El Geish El Geish 1-0 HT 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
14.12.2022 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 3-2 HT 1-2 El Geish El Geish MSR
28.05.2022 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 0-1 HT 0-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
19.11.2021 El Geish El Geish 0-0 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
09.05.2021 El Geish El Geish 3-1 HT 2-1 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
25.12.2020 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 2-1 HT 1-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
2-3
AWAY El Geish
1.84 xG 1.95
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 6
345 Passes 166
77% Pass Accuracy 62%
21 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ghazl El Mehalla vs El Geish
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Geish edged past Ghazl El Mehalla 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (32% / 35% / 34%) promised a tight game; El Geish found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ghazl El Mehalla had 63% of the ball to El Geish's 37%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 1.84 to 1.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Geish led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ghazl El Mehalla and 1.33 for El Geish.

What was the final score of Ghazl El Mehalla vs El Geish?

Ghazl El Mehalla 2-3 El Geish in the Egypt - Premier League on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ghazl El Mehalla vs El Geish?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Ghazl El Mehalla 32%, draw 35%, El Geish 34%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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