Masr 0-1 Al Ahly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 7 Nov 2024

Masr
0-1 HT 0-1
Al Ahly
📅07/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
53%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.95
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
3.95
6+ Goals
8%
17.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 34% vs market 28.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
17%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
53%
Away Win
59%
-5.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.8pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Masr EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 62%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
0.36/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.68
-78% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +5%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
255 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 81%
9.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
11.9 Crosses 19.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Masr
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Al Ahly
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
0.89 xG 2.08
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
260 Passes 344
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.08.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-1 HT 1-0 Masr MSR
11.04.2024 Masr 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
23.09.2020 Masr 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
05.01.2020 Al Ahly Al Ahly 3-1 HT 1-0 Masr MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Masr
0-1
AWAY Al Ahly
0.40 xG 0.30
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 8
307 Passes 405
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 13
10 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Masr vs Al Ahly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly nicked a narrow win over Masr 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Masr had 44% of the ball to Al Ahly's 56%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.40 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Ahly led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Masr and 2.25 for Al Ahly.

What was the final score of Masr vs Al Ahly?

Masr 0-1 Al Ahly in the Egypt - Premier League on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Masr vs Al Ahly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Masr 21%, draw 26%, Al Ahly 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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