Masr vs Al Ahly Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Masr v Al Ahly — Team-Based Signals
Masr vs Al Ahly Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Al Ahly
MSR
3-1
HT 1-0
Masr
MSR
Masr 0-1 Al Ahly — Actual Match Statistics
Al Ahly squeezed past Masr 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Masr had 40% of the ball to Al Ahly's 60%, shots finished 7-23, expected goals 0.19 to 2.35 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Ahly's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Ahly led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Masr and 3.00 for Al Ahly.
What was the final score of Masr vs Al Ahly?
Masr 0-1 Al Ahly in the Egypt - Premier League on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Masr vs Al Ahly?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Masr 24%, draw 26%, Al Ahly 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.