Al Masry 1-2 Future FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 11 Apr 2024

📅11/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.25
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
5.48
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.25 — our 41% vs market 37.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.8pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.5pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Masry EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Future FC EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.10/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.92
-17% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +47%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
18.0 Crosses 14.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Masry
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Future FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.03 xG 1.16
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
271 Passes 326
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.06.2023 Al Masry Al Masry 2-0 HT 0-0 Future FC Future FC MSR
24.01.2023 Future FC Future FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
22.05.2022 Al Masry Al Masry 0-1 HT 0-0 Future FC Future FC MSR
05.11.2021 Future FC Future FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Masry
1-2
AWAY Future FC
1.15 xG 1.04
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 6
330 Passes 320
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 31
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Masry vs Future FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Future FC squeezed past Al Masry 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Future FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Masry had 52% of the ball to Future FC's 48%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.15 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Masry and 0.75 for Future FC.

What was the final score of Al Masry vs Future FC?

Al Masry 1-2 Future FC in the Egypt - Premier League on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Masry vs Future FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Masry win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Masry 37%, draw 31%, Future FC 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Masry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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MSR More Egypt - Premier League
11 Apr 2024
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