Zamalek 3-0 Sakandary — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 11 Apr 2024

📅11/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.82
Over 2.5
39%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.76
No
59%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
3.62
6+ Goals
8%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 35% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.3pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.4pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
51%
+9.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
49%
-9.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.5pp
59%
BTTS No
47%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamalek EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sakandary EU Bookmakers 28%
+15% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.58/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.14
+49% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
15.3 Crosses 19.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamalek
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sakandary
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.23 xG 0.53
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
392 Passes 244
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.06.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 2-1 HT 1-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
11.01.2023 Sakandary Sakandary 0-0 HT 0-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
23.08.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 1-1 HT 0-1 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
19.04.2022 Sakandary Sakandary 0-2 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
10.08.2021 Sakandary Sakandary 1-2 HT 0-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
07.02.2021 Zamalek Zamalek 2-0 HT 0-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamalek
3-0
AWAY Sakandary
1.67 xG 0.58
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
559 Passes 205
87% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 13
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zamalek vs Sakandary
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek cruised past Sakandary 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zamalek as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Zamalek had 68% of the ball to Sakandary's 32%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.67 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zamalek and 0.50 for Sakandary.

What was the final score of Zamalek vs Sakandary?

Zamalek 3-0 Sakandary in the Egypt - Premier League on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamalek vs Sakandary?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zamalek 43%, draw 31%, Sakandary 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamalek), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zamalek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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