MSV Duisburg 2-1 Waldhof Mannheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 7 Nov 2025

MSV Duisburg
2-1 HT 1-0
Waldhof Mannheim
📅07/11/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

MSV Duisburg vs Waldhof Mannheim Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.11
1/2
9%
29.5
1/X
5%
12.65
X/1
15%
5.33
X/2
7%
6.74
X/X
11%
5.13
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
15%
4.47
2/X
9%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

MSV Duisburg v Waldhof Mannheim — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MSV Duisburg EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 34%
+14% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.84/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.73
+1% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 73%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
22.4 Crosses 20.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

MSV Duisburg vs Waldhof Mannheim Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MSV Duisburg
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.04.2024 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
05.11.2023 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 0-0 HT 0-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
23.01.2023 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 1-3 HT 1-1 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
02.05.2022 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 3-1 HT 3-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
26.11.2021 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 1-3 HT 1-2 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
10.04.2021 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 1-1 HT 1-1 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3

MSV Duisburg 2-1 Waldhof Mannheim — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MSV Duisburg
2-1
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 7
145 Passes 253
61% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH MSV Duisburg vs Waldhof Mannheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MSV Duisburg edged past Waldhof Mannheim 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had MSV Duisburg as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, MSV Duisburg had 41% of the ball to Waldhof Mannheim's 59%, shots finished 15-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waldhof Mannheim led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for MSV Duisburg and 1.83 for Waldhof Mannheim.

What was the final score of MSV Duisburg vs Waldhof Mannheim?

MSV Duisburg 2-1 Waldhof Mannheim in the Germany - 3rd Division on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MSV Duisburg vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a MSV Duisburg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split MSV Duisburg 44%, draw 25%, Waldhof Mannheim 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MSV Duisburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MSV Duisburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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