Qabala 0-2 Sumqayıt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 7 Nov 2025

📅07/11/2025 · 🕒15:44 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qabala EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +30%
1.25/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.77
+5% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +52%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qabala
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sumqayıt
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.01.2024 Qabala Qabala 0-1 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
29.10.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-0 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
19.08.2023 Qabala Qabala 1-2 HT 0-2 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
23.04.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-3 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
18.02.2023 Qabala Qabala 2-1 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
29.11.2022 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-1 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
POST-MATCH Qabala vs Sumqayıt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sumqayıt beat Qabala 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Qabala at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Qabala and 1.17 for Sumqayıt.

What was the final score of Qabala vs Sumqayıt?

Qabala 0-2 Sumqayıt in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qabala vs Sumqayıt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qabala win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Qabala 41%, draw 28%, Sumqayıt 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Qabala) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Qabala) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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7 Nov 2025
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