Qabala 0-1 Sumqayıt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 23 Jan 2024

Qabala
0-1 HT 0-0
Sumqayıt
📅23/01/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2023/2024

Qabala vs Sumqayıt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Qabala v Sumqayıt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qabala EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.51/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.46
+31% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
335 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2

Qabala vs Sumqayıt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qabala
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sumqayıt
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-0 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
19.08.2023 Qabala Qabala 1-2 HT 0-2 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
23.04.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-3 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
18.02.2023 Qabala Qabala 2-1 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
29.11.2022 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-1 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
17.09.2022 Qabala Qabala 1-0 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
POST-MATCH Qabala vs Sumqayıt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sumqayıt nicked a narrow win over Qabala 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Sumqayıt found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Qabala had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Qabala and 1.00 for Sumqayıt.

What was the final score of Qabala vs Sumqayıt?

Qabala 0-1 Sumqayıt in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qabala vs Sumqayıt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qabala win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Qabala 37%, draw 27%, Sumqayıt 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Qabala) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Qabala) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
23 Jan 2024
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