Real Esteli 3-0 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 7 Nov 2025

📅07/11/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.3
Draw
14%
4.95
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
28%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
72%
-0.1pp
14%
Draw
17%
-3.4pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +9%
2.18/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.23
-10% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
426 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Esteli
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Export Sebaco
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.02.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-3 HT 1-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
22.10.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 0-5 HT 0-2 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
19.08.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 5-0 HT 3-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
27.03.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 3-0 HT 1-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
05.02.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 0-1 HT 0-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
03.10.2022 Real Esteli Real Esteli 3-1 HT 1-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
POST-MATCH Real Esteli vs Export Sebaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli ran out comfortable winners over Export Sebaco 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Esteli as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Real Esteli and 1.17 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of Real Esteli vs Export Sebaco?

Real Esteli 3-0 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Esteli vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Real Esteli 72%, draw 14%, Export Sebaco 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Esteli), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →