Jablonec 2-1 Dukla Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.96
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.03
6+ Goals
13%
9.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
69%
-6.6pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.6pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jablonec EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
2.74/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/2.36
-9% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
18.0 Crosses 16.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jablonec
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dukla Prag
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.95 xG 1.58
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
274 Passes 315
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 0-2 HT 0-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
14.04.2019 Jablonec Jablonec 2-1 HT 1-1 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
03.11.2018 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 2-6 HT 0-3 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
23.02.2018 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 0-1 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
20.08.2017 Jablonec Jablonec 2-2 HT 2-1 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
11.03.2017 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-0 HT 1-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jablonec
2-1
AWAY Dukla Prag
1.23 xG 1.41
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
375 Passes 259
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 16
34 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jablonec vs Dukla Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec edged past Dukla Prag 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jablonec as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Jablonec had 58% of the ball to Dukla Prag's 42%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.23 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jablonec had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Jablonec and 1.00 for Dukla Prag.

What was the final score of Jablonec vs Dukla Prag?

Jablonec 2-1 Dukla Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jablonec vs Dukla Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Jablonec 62%, draw 21%, Dukla Prag 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jablonec), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jablonec) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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