Dukla Prag 0-2 Jablonec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.72
6+ Goals
11%
15.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.72 — our 25% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-1.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Jablonec EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.19/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.22
+0% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dukla Prag
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Jablonec
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
14.04.2019 Jablonec Jablonec 2-1 HT 1-1 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
03.11.2018 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 2-6 HT 0-3 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
23.02.2018 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 0-1 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
20.08.2017 Jablonec Jablonec 2-2 HT 2-1 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
11.03.2017 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-0 HT 1-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
11.09.2016 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 0-1 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dukla Prag
0-2
AWAY Jablonec
1.58 xG 0.95
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
315 Passes 274
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dukla Prag vs Jablonec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec beat Dukla Prag 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jablonec as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Dukla Prag had 53% of the ball to Jablonec's 47%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.58 to 0.95 — on chances, Dukla Prag could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jablonec led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dukla Prag and 2.00 for Jablonec.

What was the final score of Dukla Prag vs Jablonec?

Dukla Prag 0-2 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dukla Prag vs Jablonec?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dukla Prag 34%, draw 25%, Jablonec 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jablonec) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jablonec) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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