Bohemians 1905 1-2 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
52%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.27
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.99
6+ Goals
12%
9.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+1.4pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.1pp
52%
Away Win
55%
-2.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians 1905 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 59%
+10% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.29/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.17
+25% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
263 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
22.2 Crosses 19.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians 1905
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.81 xG 2.69
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
136 Passes 291
52% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 32
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2024 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 1-3 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
04.11.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
01.11.2023 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 1-2 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEKK
20.05.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
12.02.2023 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 2-6 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
27.08.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-1 HT 0-1 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians 1905
1-2
AWAY Sparta Prag
0.46 xG 2.13
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
235 Passes 392
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 42
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag nicked a narrow win over Bohemians 1905 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bohemians 1905 had 40% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 60%, shots finished 9-24, expected goals 0.46 to 2.13 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sparta Prag's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bohemians 1905 and 2.67 for Sparta Prag.

What was the final score of Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Prag?

Bohemians 1905 1-2 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 1905 25%, draw 23%, Sparta Prag 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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