Bohemians 1905 1-3 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
44%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.21
6+ Goals
12%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
19%
+12.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
44%
Away Win
58%
-14.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians 1905 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 62%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
0.72/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.92
+17% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
166 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 78%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
26.0 Crosses 25.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians 1905
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
01.11.2023 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 1-2 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEKK
20.05.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
12.02.2023 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 2-6 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
27.08.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-1 HT 0-1 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
12.12.2021 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 5-1 HT 4-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians 1905
1-3
AWAY Sparta Prag
0.81 xG 2.69
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 5
136 Passes 291
52% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 32
22 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag got the better of Bohemians 1905 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bohemians 1905 had 41% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 59%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 0.81 to 2.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bohemians 1905 and 3.00 for Sparta Prag.

What was the final score of Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Prag?

Bohemians 1905 1-3 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 1905 31%, draw 25%, Sparta Prag 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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